Long-Range Dependence in U.S. Home Price Volatility

William Miles Online First™, 17 September 2009 Abstract The existence of GARCH effects in a financial price series means that the probability of large losses is much higher than standard mean-variance analysis suggests. Accordingly, several recent papers have investigated whether GARCH effects exist in the U.S. housing market, as changes in house prices can have far-ranging impacts on defaults, foreclosures, tax revenues and the values of mortgage-backed securities. Some research in finance indicates that the conditional variance of some assets exhibits far...
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Intrametropolitan Decentralization: Is Government Structure Capitalized in Residential Property Values?

Stephen Billings and Thomas G. Thibodeau Online First™, 17 September 2009 Abstract This paper examines the influence that the intrametropolitan growth in special districts has on residential property values. Our empirical approach tests whether the benefits of decentralizing local public good providers increases, decreases or leaves residential property appreciation rates unchanged. Past research in this area has been limited by the lack of variation in government structure within a region and by the self-selection of areas that decentralize governments. This research...
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The Optimal Choice for Lenders Facing Defaults: Short Sale, Foreclose, or REO

Terrence M. Clauretie and Nasser Daneshvary Online First™, 19 August 2009 Abstract When mortgage borrowers default and have no desire or ability to keep their property, then loss mitigation involves a sale of the property via one of the following options: (1) the lender allows pre-foreclosure “short sale” by the borrower, (2) the lender institutes the foreclosure process under a notice of default and the property is sold during the process by the borrower, and (3) the lender forecloses on the property, takes title, and sells the property in the market as real estate...
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Multiple Regimes and Volatility Transmission in Securitized Real Estate Markets

Kim Hiang Liow, Zhiwei Chen and Jingran Liu Online First™, 14 August 2009 Abstract We examine the dynamics and transmission of conditional volatilities with multiple structural changes in return volatility using Bai and Perron (2003)’s methodology, across five major securitized real estate markets as well as employing a multivariate regime-dependent asymmetric dynamic covariance methodology (MRDADC) that allows the conditional matrix to be both time- and state-varying. Our results imply that a multiple-regime time varying asymmetric variance and covariance approach is...
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Corporate Governance and Performance in the Market for Corporate Control: The Case of REITs

Robert D. Campbell, Chinmoy Ghosh, Milena Petrova and C. F. Sirmans Online First™, 12 August 2009 Abstract We examine 132 mergers and acquisitions by Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) during 1997–2006 and explore the relationship between acquirer external and internal corporate governance mechanisms and announcement abnormal returns. We argue that in regulated industries with absent active takeover market, the importance of outside governance mechanisms is diminished and substituted by internal governance controls. We focus on the REIT industry. We find that...
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REIT Short Sales and Return Predictability

Benjamin M. Blau, Matthew D. Hill and Hao Wang Online First™, 9 August 2009 Abstract We examine REIT short sale transactions and show REITs are shorted less frequently than non-REITs. Results also show short sellers are less able to predict negative future returns for REITs, relative to non-REITs, which is consistent with increased pricing efficiency for REITs and suggests REIT assets are more transparent. In a broader context, these results suggest differences in transparency across asset types influence the effectiveness of short selling. Results showing REIT short...
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